FC Melbourne Knights vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 0
MEL
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
CSC
4 - 2
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
3 - 0
MEL
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 4
SOU
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 1
CCO
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
4 - 0
GIF
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 2
BRI
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 0
GIF
56%
22%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |