FC Melbourne Knights vs Eastern Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
HUM
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
MEL
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 4
HEU
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
BEN
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ELS
1 - 4
BEN
8%
14%
77%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 0
ELS
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
2 - 4
AVH
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DAC
2 - 2
ELS
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 3
POR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |