FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
11º
4º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 1
QUE
18%
20%
61%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HUM
2 - 4
MEL
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCF
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 3
MEL
8%
14%
77%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
GRE
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 4
DAN
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
6 - 0
NGW
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AVH
5 - 1
DAN
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 3
ALM
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |