FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 0
MEL
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 2
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 3
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
KIN
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DAN
4 - 2
NOR
51%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PAS
3 - 1
DAN
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 4
OAK
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HUM
1 - 1
DAN
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 4
DAN
46%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |