FC Melbourne Knights vs Cockburn City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 1
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 4
BEN
19%
24%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HUM
3 - 0
MEL
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cockburn City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 2
COC
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COC
1 - 2
ARM
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COC
4 - 4
ING
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
STI
3 - 1
COC
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 1
COC
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |