FC Melbourne Knights vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
4 - 0
WAD
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 0
NCB
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 0
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 1
CCO
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 4
BRI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ADE
1 - 0
CCO
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 3
SYD
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |