FC Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
AVH
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KIN
1 - 0
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 5
GRE
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HEU
1 - 0
MEL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 1
NOR
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
PAS
3 - 2
BUL
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
BUL
0 - 3
OAK
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BUL
0 - 5
AVH
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 1
BUL
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |