FC Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
7º
33
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HEU
2 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
MNG
77%
13%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HUM
1 - 1
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
6 - 0
MCF
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 5
MEL
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
STA
3 - 2
ALM
14%
18%
67%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
AVH
9%
17%
74%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
ALM
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |