FC Melbourne Knights vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
2 - 0
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
ADE
2 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
ADE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
ADE
1 - 0
NZK
73%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
1 - 1
ADE
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |