Melbourne Heart vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
ADE
4 - 2
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WES
0 - 2
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
CCM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |