Melbourne Heart vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
4 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |