Melbourne Heart vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BRI
4 - 0
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
WPH
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
PER
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
MEL
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 0
MEL
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
BRI
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |