Melbourne Heart vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
NAG
3 - 0
CCM
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CCM
5 - 1
TIT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |