Melbourne Heart vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 2
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
2 - 2
SYD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
CCM
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
CCM
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
3 - 3
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |