Melbourne Heart vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
0 - 4
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
WPH
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 3
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 4
CCM
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |