Melbourne City vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 0
MCI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 0
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
WUF
1 - 3
MCI
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
WUF
0 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 0
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
WUF
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
WUF
1 - 3
MCI
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |