Melbourne City vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MCI
1 - 2
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 4
MCI
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MCI
0 - 3
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
WES
2 - 3
MCI
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
WUF
1 - 3
WPH
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
WUF
39%
28%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
WUF
3 - 1
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
WUF
0 - 2
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |