Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
7º
4º
21
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
70% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
52.5% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 5
MCI
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
MCI
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 3
MEL
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PER
5 - 4
MCI
22%
21%
58%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 2
WES
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WES
3 - 4
ADE
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |