Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GIR
6 - 0
MCI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
KER
0 - 6
MCI
6%
11%
83%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
36%
25%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
BON
1 - 2
WES
5%
12%
84%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
HAC
3 - 4
WES
1%
5%
94%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
WES
2 - 3
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WES
3 - 0
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 1
WES
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |