Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
2 - 3
MCI
7%
13%
80%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 6
CCM
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
SYD
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
WPH
6%
12%
82%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
WPH
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |