Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
MCI
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 2
WES
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 2
SYD
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 1
MCI
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
48%
23%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 1
WPH
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 0
BRI
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 1
WPH
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ADE
3 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
WPH
1 - 1
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |