A-League Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Melbourne City vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 3
MCI
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 1
WPH
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |