Melbourne City vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
38
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 4
MCI
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
6 - 1
MFC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
MCI
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 0
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |