Melbourne City vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WPH
0 - 6
MCI
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
MCI
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 2
MCI
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 2
WES
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 2
MFC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
SYD
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 0
WUF
47%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
SYD
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |