Melbourne City vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 4
MCI
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 1
MCI
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MCI
4 - 1
WES
51%
23%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 2
MCI
3%
8%
89%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 2
MCI
3%
7%
90%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
WPH
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PER
3 - 3
CCM
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
SYD
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 2
PER
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 0
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |