Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
7 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
WPH
2 - 3
MCI
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 1
MCI
39%
23%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
WUF
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |