Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
CCM
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 3
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CCM
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
ADE
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |