Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
WPH
5 - 1
MCI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MCI
2 - 2
CCM
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 3
SYD
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |