Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 0
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CCM
0 - 2
MFC
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 3
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 2
MFC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
MFC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |