Melbourne City vs United City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
MCI
19%
20%
61%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
4 - 0
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WPH
0 - 6
MCI
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
MCI
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
United City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
CDR
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
MEN
0 - 0
CER
3%
8%
90%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CER
4 - 0
ADT
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 1
CER
16%
18%
66%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CER
4 - 0
MMF
93%
6%
1%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |