Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
5º
18
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
67% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 1
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
MCI
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 3
MCI
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 0
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
CCM
4%
11%
86%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
WUF
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
MEL
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
TER
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
3 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |