Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
WPH
3 - 2
MCI
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
0 - 0
ADE
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
4 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WES
3 - 0
MCI
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 2
MCI
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CCM
3 - 1
WES
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 3
PER
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |