Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 2
MEL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WES
4 - 3
MCI
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 1
WPH
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
MCI
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CCM
2 - 3
ADE
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
4 - 0
CCM
65%
20%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
WPH
1 - 3
CCM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CCM
1 - 2
WES
26%
28%
45%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 1
CCM
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |