Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
MCI
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HEU
0 - 5
MCI
6%
12%
82%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MCI
5 - 1
WPH
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 2
PER
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 1
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCM
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 2
CCM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |