Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
PER
1 - 3
MCI
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
7 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
WUF
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
WPH
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CCM
0 - 4
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 2
BRI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |