Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WES
3 - 0
MCI
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 2
MCI
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 2
PER
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 1
MCI
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 3
SYD
18%
24%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 4
WES
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CCM
3 - 5
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PER
4 - 0
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |