Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 1
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
MCI
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 0
WES
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
MCI
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WES
3 - 0
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 2
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |