Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 0
MCI
45%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
HAS
2 - 3
MCI
3%
7%
90%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
MCI
5%
11%
85%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
MCI
2%
6%
92%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
OAK
0 - 10
MCI
2%
5%
93%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 5
MEL
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
BRI
6%
13%
80%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
ULS
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MUA
3 - 0
BRI
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |