Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
MCI
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 0
SYD
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
WPH
2 - 1
MCI
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MCI
4 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 2
MEL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
5 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
3 - 2
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PER
6 - 3
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |