Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 1
MCI
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MCI
4 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
WES
3 - 2
MCI
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 0
MCI
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MCI
3 - 1
ADE
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 4
WES
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
WPH
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 3
SUW
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SYD
5 - 4
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
WES
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |