Mechal vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 0
KGI
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
WED
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ENB
0 - 2
MAK
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
BAH
43%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
2 - 3
HAD
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SIB
0 - 0
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
AWK
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WED
2 - 2
ETH
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
KET
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
ETH
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |