Mechal vs Arba Minch Kenema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
9º
34
11º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ADK
2 - 0
MAK
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
HAD
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
JAJ
0 - 1
MAK
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 2
AWK
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
ADK
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arba Minch Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AMK
3 - 4
ETH
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 0
AMK
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
AMK
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
AMK
0 - 1
KGI
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
AMK
1 - 0
ETB
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |