Mejoreño vs Santa Maria del Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mejoreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
DOS
5 - 2
MEJ
88%
9%
4%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
1 - 3
VVB
11%
16%
73%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAJ
6 - 0
MEJ
64%
20%
17%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
1 - 1
CMP
7%
16%
77%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 0
MEJ
77%
15%
8%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria del Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GSC
9 - 0
SMP
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SMP
2 - 0
RIV
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CLA
2 - 2
SMP
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 2
PER
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |