Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
16º
14º
14
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 75% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meizhou Hakka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 0
MEI
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 3
HEN
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
MEI
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 0
MEI
11%
16%
74%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 2
SHA
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 3
GUA
10%
15%
75%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SJF
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |