Mehring vs Betzdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
1 - 0
MEH
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 2
SAA
13%
20%
68%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 3
MEH
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
0 - 2
SAL
10%
17%
72%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Betzdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 0
BET
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BET
2 - 4
SAL
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
GON
4 - 5
BET
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
ROB
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 0
BET
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |