Mechtersheim vs Schott Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
17º
15º
20
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 77 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 75 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 75 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 73 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 44 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 23 |
18º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
80.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechtersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 3
MEC
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 3
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
5 - 0
MEC
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
TUS
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PIR
4 - 0
MEC
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 3
AUE
75%
15%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
VHE
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 3
SMA
19%
21%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
KAI
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 2
SMA
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |