Mechtersheim vs Mehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechtersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZWE
3 - 0
MEC
57%
23%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 2
MEC
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 0
MEC
64%
21%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
MEC
3 - 1
PFE
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
MEC
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 1
BET
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
1 - 0
MEH
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 2
SAA
13%
20%
68%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 3
MEH
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
0 - 2
SAL
10%
17%
72%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |