Mechtersheim vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechtersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HAU
5 - 0
MEC
76%
15%
8%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MEC
2 - 5
BET
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HAL
0 - 1
MEC
48%
23%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MEC
2 - 0
SVW
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +5 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WIR
3 - 1
MEC
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
HOM
2 - 2
PIR
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
IDA
1 - 2
HOM
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
HOM
2 - 0
HBI
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MAY
1 - 4
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HAU
2 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |