Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
KV Mechelen vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
MOL
0 - 1
KVM
23%
30%
47%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
KVM
1 - 1
BRU
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
KVM
1 - 0
KSV
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 0
KVM
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
BEE
2 - 2
KVM
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
74%
18%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 0
KVM
58%
25%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
BOA
0 - 3
SCP
25%
27%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SCP
5 - 1
SAL
80%
15%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |