KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
14º
7º
11
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
53.5% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
42.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 0
CER
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
KVM
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KVM
5 - 2
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 1
KVM
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 3
AND
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 1
KVK
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
LEU
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 0
SDL
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
LEU
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 1
CER
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |